Abe's policies will backfire, says diplomat

Japanese leader's acts fuel fears of confrontation and loss

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's nationalistic policies will "not go far", as his country's economic interests are intertwined with the world's, especially in Asia, a veteran diplomat says.

Abe's counter-China policies will boomerang, says Wu Jianmin, 74, executive vice-chairman of the China Institute for Innovation and Development Strategy, a think tank.

Wu, a former ambassador to France, the Netherland and the United Nations, made the comments in an interview with China Daily in late December, as Abe proceeded with hawkish policies following his first year in office.

"What Shinzo Abe did is not accidental, but has a complicated background," Wu says.

Regional tensions increased on Dec 26 when Abe visited the Yasukuni Shrine, which honors 14 Class-A war criminals from World War II. The visit was the first to the shrine by a serving Japanese prime minister since 2006.

Japan has experienced economic stagnation since its economic bubble burst in the 1990s, and it has seen seven prime ministers in six years.

"Under such circumstances, Abe is flying the banner of nationalism to fan the public mood and shore up his public image," Wu claims.

He says Abe's nationalism has alarmed not only China, but many others, including the United States.

Given that Japan's interests are deeply rooted in Asia and that it is impossible for the country to risk its "enormous" trade with China, Abe's nationalism "will not go far", Wu says.

He also believes China and some of its neighbors should manage and control tensions. People-to-people exchanges and economic cooperation between China and Japan should be advanced, Wu adds.

His comments come as China faces challenges in the region from competing territorial claims.

Wu says confrontations have led to great losses on all sides and have affected cooperation bilaterally and regionally.

"Some people said confrontation is affordable. But do they calculate the cost of the confrontation? Do they want an everybody-is-a-loser situation to persist?"

"The relationship between China and neighboring countries has developed enormously in the past 30 years, creating huge common interests, which have every reason to be preserved,"

However, he is also optimistic about growth in the Asia-Pacific region and for stability, although disputes and the US Asia-pivot strategy have caused conflicts in the region.

Contact the writers at wujiao@chinadaily.com.cn and zhangyunbi@chinadaily.com.cn

(China Daily Africa Weekly 01/10/2014 page29)