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Markets

Oil falls amid demand concerns

By Christian Schmollinger and Ben Sharples (China Daily)
Updated: 2010-07-01 11:19
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SINGAPORE - Oil fell for a third day, the longest losing streak in six weeks, on concern economic growth in the United States and China, the world's two largest users, will slow.

Oil extended Tuesday's 3 percent decline after the Conference Board said its leading economic index for China rose more slowly in April than previously estimated. The board's US confidence index in June was lower than all forecasts in a Bloomberg News survey.

Asian stocks on Wednesday dropped the most in more than two weeks.

"Everyone understands now that it will take more time than expected for the economy of America to get better," said Ken Hasegawa, a commodity derivatives sales manager at broker Newedge Group in Tokyo. "Oil is in a downtrend after it failed to reach $80."

Crude for August delivery fell as much as 61 cents, or 0.8 percent, to $75.33 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It was at $75.71 at 1:52 pm Singapore time.

On Tuesday, the contract declined $2.31 to $75.94, the biggest one-day drop since June 4.

Oil, down 9.6 percent since the end of March, is heading for its first quarterly decline since 2008.

Futures have fallen 4.6 percent this year. The market is in the longest decline since a six-day drop through May 18.

Related readings:
Oil falls amid demand concerns Sinopec to increase oil processing at Maoming refinery
Oil falls amid demand concerns Economy likely to maintain steady, rapid growth: PBOC
Oil falls amid demand concerns China's refining capacity may rise 50%, Sinopec says

Technical indicators

Crude has declined below technical indicators used by analysts, according to Hasegawa at Newedge.

Oil is below the 50-day moving average at $76.30 a barrel, along with the 100-day at $78.67 and 200-day at $77.18.

"This means we may fall further if some bearish news comes into the market," he said. "It looks weak technically."

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