Chen Sui Bian has crossed the line and the restraint that the Americans have
put on him means nothing; because the Americans are standing behind him. I
believe the notorious meeting between Collin Powell and Chen Sui Bian.
clandestinely in Hawii was "word in the ear of Chen Sui Bian" that if he carried
out his referendum gambit America will support him. It is for this reason that
Chen Sui Bian is so daring to stay his position.
I believe the encouragement in the manner put forward by me is a deliberate
ploy by the Bush camp to boost their chances for re-election. The Bush
re-election team believe that the PLA is not willing to go to war on the
referendum issue, and with this in mind they encourage Ah Bian to rattle the
cage of the PLA. The spectre of war with China in a re-election is sound
strategy for the Bush camp. I observe that the Bush Administration has in
gradual steps been increasing pressures on several issues that will in the heat
of the re-election campaign blow out into very heated contest between China and
the USA; and one of these ploys is the Taiwan issue.
THIS I PREDICT ! the Bush re-election campaign team will make the
confrontation between China and the USA a major issue; just as they did in the
election of Bush. AMERICANS ARE SUCH SUCKERS FOR THIS CHINA CARD BANNER ! This
confrontation will be played for all that it is worth.
This is an opportunity for China to settle the Taiwan issue once and for all.
I vouch that Ah Bian will call the referendum; he can call it whatever he likes.
the truth of the matter is that once the referendum is called it will have set a
precedent that " PUTS IN CHEN SUI BIAN'S HAND THE TRIGGER FOR A REFERENDUM FOR
WHENEVER THAT CHEN SUI BIAN WANTS TO FIRE IT"
The time to call Chen Sui Bian's bluff is now when the USA has got their
hands full. The mess that Bush and his mafia has created for themselves makes
any US involvement highly unlikely. In any case as I have argued many a time;
China does not need to shy away from the USA. We are the defence side and the
Americans need to come to us to attack; and no matter how powerful that the
Americans think they are they will know that attacking China in the present
times is an IMPOSSIBILITY. They can destroy but THEY CANNOT CONQUER; and in the
present days' warfare "IF YOU CANNOT CONQUER, YOU HAVE LOST !", because a war of
prolonged duration will drain the coffers of even the USA. This is going to be
the fate of the USA in Iraq. They cannot conquer and no matter how they hype
their position in Iraq, America has lost the war in Iraq and it is just a matter
when they will have to concede.
I read at a glance an article that China will have 4 squadrons deployed of
our keenly anticipated "J 10" all weather fighters that are comparable to the
F16 fighters; and if that is true then the PLA will have on our side an attack
air-force that can control the skies over the Straits of Taiwan. This is all
that is required. i have always believed that our PLA fleet of obsolete Mig's
can also play an effective supporting and spoiling role in the fight against
Taiwan and if the Americans interfere then we can also lump the Americans into
the bargain.
I wish to outline a likely scenario that can effectively deploy our aged MIGs
in combination with our top of the line SU 27 and SU30 fighter and our own J 10
all weather fighter air-crafts as a combined attacking force. China can attack
on a three front beach-head landing so that the Taiwan defence forces will be
split into three pockets. Our MIGs fighters will fly in formation among the SU
28s and the SU 30s and the J 10 fighters; in the event that Taiwan interceptors
confronts our fighters, our MIGs will fly ahead of the SU 28s and SU 30s and the
J 10s. The top of the line fighters will fly behind the aged MIGs. These MIGs
will intercept the Taiwan fighters first in order to draw the Taiwanese fighters
to FIRE FIRST. This strategy means that for the first shots fired by the
Taiwanese, the return fire from of our MIGs will threaten and expose the
Taiwanese to return fire from our SU 28s and our SU 30s and our own CHINESE
DESIGNED J 10 all weather fighters. The return fire from our PLA air=crafts will
make it impossible for the Taiwanese to fend the combined attack from our own
fighters. This way our aged MIGs can be put to good strategic good use.
Chen Sui Bian has made it impossible for China to integrate with our province
of Taiwan peacefully. I believe that Chen Sui Bian wants to establish and Chen
Sui Bian dynasty in Taiwan. The Americans has always wanted an independent
Taiwan so that in strategic terms they have a base that is very close to China.
They have in every US Administration, the objective to keep Taiwan free from the
control of China. They will never forego this strategic advantage, no matter how
well the US gets along with China. There is a running commonality between Chen
Sui Bian and the US Administration no matter which side the US Administration
comes from. It is better than when the opportunity presents itself to launch our
own campaign to integrate Taiwan. This will mean that we have once and for all
times remove the thorn from China抯 side.
This is the best time for China to launch the attack. The Americans are
already cognisant of our intentions and the warnings to both the US and to Chen
Sui Bian. We now have the means to attack. It is always said that China does not
have 揕ANDING CRAFTS?in sufficient numbers to do the job. The Straits of Taiwan
is not too rough; and drawing from the example of the 揃ritish withdrawal from
DUNKIRK?we Chinese can improvise by using small sampans from our thousands of
tiny fishing sampans. This is possible only if we have mastery of the skies. I
believe that those critics who says that China does not have sufficient landing
crafts are wrong. We do not need the sort of PURPOSE BUILT LANDING CRAFTS THAT
THE AMERICANS REQUIRE. Americans are not a very innovative people. They need to
have the best before they have the guts to fight. We Chinese on the other hand
are more innovative. We can turn the humble sampan into a 搇anding craft? The
Taiwanese are also of the thinking as the Americans. They like the Americans
still believe that China does not have sufficient landing crafts to do the job
and they will be very mistaken.
On all counts China has the capacity and the means to attack and the time is
also just right to attack; this combination of all the right pieces is in favour
of China attacking NOW ! To my Chinese brothers I wish the very best of luck and
god speed in our endeavour, may the gods favour the PLA.
